Every claim

Every claim the site shows, in one list. Each has a page with its sources and a way to dispute it.

KnownReplicated, consensus empirical finding.
SpeculativePublished and serious, but disputed, emerging, or not reliably replicated.
ImaginedThe author's own framework, synthesis or proposal: a way of seeing, or a case argued in the open.
  1. FRM-01
    A person can be understood as four nested kingdoms: molecules, body and sense, relationships, and mind.Imagined · framework (claim FRM-01: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 2
  2. FRM-02
    Upward constraint: what a higher level can be is limited by the levels beneath it.Known (claim FRM-02: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 2
  3. FRM-03
    Upward emergence: higher levels show properties that their parts do not have.Known (claim FRM-03: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 2
  4. FRM-03Q
    What emergence ultimately is remains disputed: whether properties of the whole are new in reality, or new only in our descriptions of it.Speculative (claim FRM-03Q: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 2
  5. FRM-04
    Downward causation: higher levels reshape the levels beneath them.Known (claim FRM-04: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 2, 26
  6. FRM-04Q
    Philosophers still dispute whether the higher level is itself the cause, or only the lower-level processes that make it up.Speculative (claim FRM-04Q: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 2, 26
  7. FRM-05
    The same four-layer architecture recurs at the scale of the person, the cosmos and civilisation.Imagined · framework (claim FRM-05: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 27
  8. THR-01
    A woman sits across from you on a train, looking at her phone. In a few minutes one of you will stand and leave.Prologue
  9. THR-02
    In Libet's experiments, brain activity preparing a simple movement began about a third of a second before people reported deciding to move.Known (claim THR-02: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 19 and Prologue
  10. THR-03
    What that timing means for free will is disputed: a later reanalysis suggests the early signal may be background neural noise rather than a decision already made.Speculative (claim THR-03: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 19
  11. THR-04
    In chronically lonely people, white blood cells show a shifted pattern of gene activity: inflammation-related genes turned up, antiviral and antibody-related genes turned down.Known (claim THR-04: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 13, Ch. 14 and Prologue
  12. THR-05
    Human eyes respond to light between about 380 and 750 nanometres, a sliver of the electromagnetic spectrum.Known (claim THR-05: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 7
  13. THR-06
    How small the sliver looks depends on how the spectrum is drawn: a vanishing fraction of one per cent on a linear scale, closer to two per cent on a logarithmic one.Known (claim THR-06: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 7 and Prologue
  14. THR-07
    Colour is constructed by the brain from the light that reaches the eye; it is not a property carried by the light itself.Known (claim THR-07: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 7
  15. THR-08
    A human body contains roughly seven octillion (7 x 10^27) atoms.Known (claim THR-08: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 1 and Prologue
  16. THR-09
    Each set of human DNA has about 3.1 billion letters, and nearly every cell carries two sets.Known (claim THR-09: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 3 and Prologue
  17. THR-10
    When cells copy DNA, proofreading and repair bring the error rate down to roughly one mistake in ten billion letters.Known (claim THR-10: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 3 and Prologue
  18. THR-11
    The iron in human blood was forged in stars that died before the Earth formed.Known (claim THR-11: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 3
  19. THR-12
    Her atoms are borrowed from the Earth and will be returned. She lives inside a maintained state of air, water and warmth she has never had reason to notice.Known (claim THR-12: sources and how to dispute it)A Settlement, Not a Law
  20. THR-13
    Many affective neuroscientists hold that grief, fear, care and play run on brain circuits humans share with other mammals; constructionist researchers dispute that these are dedicated circuits.Speculative (claim THR-13: sources and how to dispute it)The Cathedral, Ch. 19; The Ancient Family
  21. THR-14
    She belongs to an unbroken line of descent that reaches back to the earliest life on Earth.Known (claim THR-14: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 18
  22. THR-15
    She was born into one of more than seven thousand living languages.Known (claim THR-15: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 17, 18
  23. THR-16
    The language you grow up in measurably affects how quickly you tell some colours apart.Known (claim THR-16: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 17, 25
  24. THR-17
    Thirty-seven trillion cells agree on a shape and call it you.Known (claim THR-17: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 4 and Epilogue
  25. THR-18
    The adult brain has about 86 billion neurons.Known (claim THR-18: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 19
  26. PLN-01
    Before you can think anything, your senses must take in the room and your brain must be supplied with glucose and oxygen.Known (claim PLN-01: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 2
  27. PLN-02
    Damage the lower kingdoms and the higher ones change or fail; the mind depends on the body far more than the body depends on the mind.Known (claim PLN-02: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 2
  28. PLN-03
    Moral and evaluative judgements often arrive as intuitions first, with reasons supplied afterwards.Speculative (claim PLN-03: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 22
  29. PLN-04
    The experience of insight is something new: no neuron has insights and no molecule reasons.Known (claim PLN-04: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 2
  30. PLN-05
    Social evaluation, such as arguing in front of others, can raise listeners' and speakers' cortisol.Known (claim PLN-05: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 2, 6
  31. PLN-06
    A thought spoken in one mind can travel down through a room's relationships and hormones and, over time, into other people's gene expression.Known (claim PLN-06: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 2
  32. CAS-L1
    What matters for loneliness is feeling cut off, not the number of people nearby.Known (claim CAS-L1: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 13
  33. CAS-L2
    Lonely people show an inflammatory, low-antiviral pattern of gene activity in their white blood cells.Known (claim CAS-L2: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 13, 14
  34. CAS-L3
    Over four years, the loneliest people's systolic blood pressure rose 14.4 mm Hg more than that of the least lonely.Known (claim CAS-L3: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 14
  35. CAS-L4
    Loneliness is linked to more broken, less efficient sleep.Known (claim CAS-L4: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 14
  36. CAS-L5
    Weak social ties carry a mortality risk comparable to well-known risk factors such as smoking.Known (claim CAS-L5: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 13
  37. CAS-L6
    Lonely people attend more to signs of social threat, which makes withdrawal more likely and can close the loop.Known (claim CAS-L6: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 13, 14
  38. CAS-C1
    Health tracks the quality of a person's social embedding at every level, from family to nation.Speculative (claim CAS-C1: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 13
  39. CAS-C2
    People with six or more kinds of social tie were about four times less likely to develop a cold after deliberate exposure to the virus than people with one to three.Known (claim CAS-C2: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 8, 13
  40. CAS-C3
    Social support during a stressful task lowers the cortisol response to it.Known (claim CAS-C3: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 6, 13
  41. CAS-C4
    The narrator that tells a lonely mind it is unsafe tells a connected mind that it belongs; either story shapes the body.Known (claim CAS-C4: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 19
  42. CAS-S1
    In stable primate hierarchies, subordinate animals carry higher baseline cortisol; when the hierarchy is contested, dominant animals fare worse.Known (claim CAS-S1: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 6
  43. CAS-S2
    In the Whitehall studies of British civil servants, each step down the grade ladder brought worse health, even after lifestyle was accounted for.Known (claim CAS-S2: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 6, 8
  44. CAS-S3
    Prolonged stress that cannot be controlled produces passivity. Its discoverers now argue that passivity is the default, and what is learned is control.Known (claim CAS-S3: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 24
  45. CAS-T1
    Secure rank brings lower baseline cortisol and faster recovery from stress, but only while the hierarchy holds.Known (claim CAS-T1: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 6
  46. CAS-T2
    Across primates, posture reflects social rank. Claims that adopting a powerful posture changes hormones have failed to replicate.Known (claim CAS-T2: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 11
  47. CAS-T3
    Studies suggest power can reduce perspective-taking, but a large replication of the best-known experiment found no effect.Speculative (claim CAS-T3: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 24
  48. CAS-X1
    Chronic social conditions such as insecure work and unstable housing predict allostatic load: wear across the cardiovascular, metabolic and immune systems together.Known (claim CAS-X1: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 8
  49. CAS-X2
    That wear is measured in cortisol, adrenaline and inflammatory markers such as C-reactive protein and IL-6.Known (claim CAS-X2: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 8
  50. CAS-X3
    Scarcity may tax attention and self-control. The original study's analysis has been challenged, and how large any effect is remains disputed.Speculative (claim CAS-X3: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 24
  51. CAS-N1
    A parent's own attachment pattern matches the infant's, secure or insecure, in about three cases out of four.Known (claim CAS-N1: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 18
  52. CAS-N2
    In rats, a mother's licking and grooming changes the chemical marking of her pups' stress-hormone receptor gene and sets their stress response for life.Known (claim CAS-N2: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 5
  53. CAS-N3
    Whether early care calibrates the human stress-response system for life is still debated.Speculative (claim CAS-N3: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 5, 11
  54. CAS-N4
    The narrator learns early what to expect from other people and keeps telling that story long after.Speculative (claim CAS-N4: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 18
  55. CAS-F1
    People conceived during the Dutch Hunger Winter showed less methylation of the IGF2 gene than their unexposed same-sex siblings six decades later.Known (claim CAS-F1: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 5
  56. CAS-F2
    Whether such marks pass to grandchildren in humans is contested.Speculative (claim CAS-F2: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 5, 18
  57. CAS-META
    Tracing a condition as one cascade through four kingdoms is the book's synthesis; each step comes from separate research.Imagined · framework (claim CAS-META: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 14
  58. KEY-01
    Two identical greys look different against different surrounds, because the brain judges brightness by context.Known (claim KEY-01: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 7
  59. BRE-01
    Breathing at about six breaths a minute raises vagally mediated heart-rate variability while you do it; the effect fades afterwards.Known (claim BRE-01: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 12
  60. BRE-02
    Breathing is the one vital rhythm run both automatically and by choice, which makes it a door between mind and body.Known (claim BRE-02: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 12
  61. NAR-01
    Given a list of words linked to sleep, people often remember 'sleep' itself, though it was never shown, and recognise it almost as often as the words they did see.Known (claim NAR-01: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 19
  62. NAR-02
    Memory reconstructs rather than records: recalled memories become changeable again and can absorb misleading information.Known (claim NAR-02: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 19
  63. NAR-03
    When a choice is secretly swapped, about three people in four do not notice, and many give fluent reasons for a choice they did not make.Known (claim NAR-03: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 19, 21
  64. NAR-04
    We deceive ourselves partly in order to deceive others more convincingly.Speculative (claim NAR-04: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 21
  65. WNG-01
    The majority of money in the modern economy is created by commercial banks making loans.Known (claim WNG-01: sources and how to dispute it)Designed, Not Given
  66. WNG-02
    Financial capital exists to serve human flourishing, and human flourishing is to be pursued within the limits of the ecological base.Imagined · proposal (claim WNG-02: sources and how to dispute it)Designed, Not Given
  67. WNG-03
    Every political doctrine bundles three kinds of claim: which mechanism should coordinate, how systems behave, and whom the arrangement is for.Imagined · framework (claim WNG-03: sources and how to dispute it)What the Quarrel Is About
  68. WNG-04
    A complex system persists through the reproduction of its cycles, not the persistence of its materials.Imagined · framework (claim WNG-04: sources and how to dispute it)What Keeps a Thing Itself
  69. WNG-05
    Civilisation can be read as eight reproduction cycles whose health can be measured and whose failure can be diagnosed.Imagined · framework (claim WNG-05: sources and how to dispute it)A Stewardship Architecture
  70. WNG-06
    Nearly every element heavier than hydrogen and helium was forged in stars or stellar explosions.Known (claim WNG-06: sources and how to dispute it)The Realm of the Given
  71. WNG-07
    Each new institution is best understood by what it replaced, and some replacements cost capacities no ledger records.Imagined · framework (claim WNG-07: sources and how to dispute it)What It Replaced
  72. WNG-08
    The number 150 as a natural human group size is contested: a 2021 re-analysis put the plausible range anywhere from 2 to 520.Speculative (claim WNG-08: sources and how to dispute it)The Cathedral, Ch. 13, 17; What It Replaced
  73. PRT-01
    In York Minster's masons' loft, a plaster tracing floor still carries full-size working drawings scratched by medieval masons; the only other surviving English example is at Wells Cathedral.Known (claim PRT-01: sources and how to dispute it)
  74. PRT-02
    The book has about 103,000 words in 29 chapters, with a Prologue, an Epilogue and notes classifying its claims.
  75. PRT-03
    If you are struggling now, talk to someone you trust or a local crisis line. In Australia, Lifeline is on 13 11 14.Ch. 24
  76. EDU-01
    Retrieving what you have learned, rather than re-reading it, strengthens long-term memory: the testing effect.Known (claim EDU-01: sources and how to dispute it)
  77. EDU-02
    Large meta-analyses find little or no far transfer: training in chess, music or working memory does not reliably raise general cognitive ability or school attainment.Known (claim EDU-02: sources and how to dispute it)
  78. EDU-03
    In children and adolescents, regular physical activity benefits fitness, heart and bone health, and mental health.Known (claim EDU-03: sources and how to dispute it)
  79. EDU-04
    Across 62 studies, students in service-learning programmes gained in attitudes to self and school, civic engagement, social skills and academic achievement compared with controls.Known (claim EDU-04: sources and how to dispute it)
  80. EDU-05
    Contact between members of different groups reduces prejudice on average, and more so under favourable conditions such as equal status and shared goals.Known (claim EDU-05: sources and how to dispute it)
  81. EDU-06
    A leading account in neuroscience holds that the brain works by predicting its own input and learning from the errors in its predictions.Speculative (claim EDU-06: sources and how to dispute it)
  82. EDU-07
    Manageable adversity can strengthen later resistance to stress, a 'steeling' effect, but it can also sensitise; which happens depends on the person, the dose and the support around them.Speculative (claim EDU-07: sources and how to dispute it)
  83. EDU-08
    Reviews of programmes that improve children's executive functions find that trained skills transfer only narrowly, and expect the most successful approaches to address emotional, social and physical needs as well as cognitive ones.Speculative (claim EDU-08: sources and how to dispute it)Ch. 27
  84. EDU-09
    The cognitive scientist John Vervaeke distinguishes four kinds of knowing: propositional (knowing that), procedural (knowing how), perspectival (knowing what a situation is like from where one stands) and participatory (knowing that comes from belonging to a practice or a place).Known (claim EDU-09: sources and how to dispute it)Part Five
  85. EDU-10
    In the assessment of professional competence, reliability depends less on standardisation than on sampling: holistic expert judgements become reliable when they are sampled widely enough across occasions, content and judges.Known (claim EDU-10: sources and how to dispute it)Part Five
  86. EDU-11
    In the 1920s Harvard, Yale and Princeton added judgements of 'character' to admission, in part to limit the number of Jewish students who would have been admitted on examination results alone.Known (claim EDU-11: sources and how to dispute it)Part Five
  87. EDU-12
    Each way of knowing has its own condition of acquisition: propositional knowing can be transmitted; procedural knowing needs performance corrected by someone competent; perspectival knowing needs occupancy of a position; participatory knowing needs membership over time with real stake.Imagined · framework (claim EDU-12: sources and how to dispute it)Part Seven
  88. EDU-13
    Participatory knowing cannot precede participation, so formation follows the widening of a person's actual sphere of participation: the body, the household, the small group with a shared task, the local institution, the society, and last the intergenerational and the planetary.Imagined · framework (claim EDU-13: sources and how to dispute it)Part Seven
  89. EDU-14
    Perspectival and participatory knowing are formed by being at stake in a body and an arena, so no one can undergo another person's formation on their behalf, and no machine can undergo it for them.Imagined · framework (claim EDU-14: sources and how to dispute it)Formation as Civilisational Reproduction, Part Five; The 22 Yards, Part I